NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

Why Pickswise Is The Home Of The Best Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2023 Season

There are just 18 weeks in the NFL regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, but NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sport amongst bettors. Our expert handicappers have decades of industry experience where they have honed in on their craft to provide the best insight, analysis, and value picks here at Pickswise. All of our NFL picks are completely free, including our picks straight up, and against the spread.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over/under, NFL Parlays, NFL Prop Bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a bet type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to have a diverse range and bet on anything they feel is a value pick. Here at Pickswise, we’ll have something for everyone with our team of handicappers leaving no stone unturned ahead of every game in 2023.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect.

For Example

Philadelphia Eagles -7 – Philadelphia must win by 8 or more points to cover the spread.
Chicago Bears +7 – Chicago must win, or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Tie Scenario – If the game ended 27-20 to Philadelphia, the spread would be a tie, or a push and stakes would be returned.

A fun stat worth noting is that the team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

Free NFL Over / Under Picks

Another exciting way to still get in on the NFL action is with total wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. Already since sports betting has been legalized we’ve seen many occasions where a hail mary, missed FG or XP has cost over or unders bettors, so be prepared to be in for the long haul with your totals bets. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in every game of the NFL season.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of bettors like to keep it simple and take our expert NFL Money Line picks.

2023-24 NFL Schedule

This will be the 104th season in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on September 7th, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs, who host the Detroit Lions. The regular season will come to a conclusion on January 7th, 2024 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 13th & 14th of January 2024. Super Bowl LVIII is scheduled for February 11th, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, the home of the Arizona Cardinals.

NFL Picks This Week

You can find our latest NFL picks by week, all season long below:

Weekly NFL Picks
NFL Week 1 PicksNFL Week 2 Picks
NFL Week 3 PicksNFL Week 4 Picks
NFL Week 5 PicksNFL Week 6 Picks
NFL Week 7 PicksNFL Week 8 Picks
NFL Week 9 PicksNFL Week 10 Picks
NFL Week 11 PicksNFL Week 12 Picks
NFL Week 13 PicksNFL Week 14 Picks
NFL Week 15 PicksNFL Week 16 Picks
NFL Week 17 PicksNFL Week 18 Picks
NFL Wildcard Weekend Picks
NFL Divisional Round Picks
NFL Conference Championship Picks

Our NFL Football picks contain a pick on each of the three major markets available on NFL games, those being the money line, point spreads and points totals. These NFL Football picks will come alongside full analysis and the latest stats and trends to consider when betting and our confidence rating in those picks. You can also head to our NFL Football Best Bets page for the top plays on the week. Or looking for alternative football picks? then head to our College Football Picks page, where you’ll find the same level of coverage and expertise from the Pickswise handicapping team.

More Than Just NFL Football Picks

We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (1)

Statistical Approach to NFL Picks

It’s our goal to provide you with the best NFL picks in the market. Our expert handicappers are all specially selected and assessed prior to joining the team to ensure their analysis. experience and results are among the best in the industry. Each capper will put hours of research into each pick and many have built statistical models to find their moneyline, spread and over/under picks so you don’t have to. Check out all of our cappers’ free NFL picks here every week of the season.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

FAQs

What is the best site for NFL predictions? ›

OddsTrader is not just the leading platform for precise NFL predictions; it also guides you to the best NFL sportsbooks in your state.

How do you win against the spread in the NFL? ›

For example, if the stronger team, or favorite, is a perceived six points better than a weaker team, the stronger will be given an NFL bet spread of -6.5. This means to “cover the spread” and win the bet, that team must win by more than six points.

What are picks against the spread? ›

This is most often seen when betting on the NFL, but point spreads are common in the NBA as well. When you bet “against the spread,” it's not enough for the favorite to win the game; now, they have to win by more than a specified amount (the point spread) in order for them to “cover the spread.”

What to bet in the NFL? ›

There's more to NFL wagering than betting the moneyline, against the spread, and totals. You can also bet on how well one NFL player will perform, who will win team and individual awards, and even the outcome of a single play.

What is the number 1 football prediction site? ›

EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

Where can I get a correct football prediction? ›

Betagamers is an accurate sports prediction site and the most reliable free soccer prediction site that predict football matches correctly.

How do you pick winners against the spread? ›

In ATS betting, the bookmaker sets a point spread to create an equal betting market for both teams. If you bet on the favorite, they must win by more than the spread (cover the spread) for you to win. If you bet on the underdog, they must either win outright or lose by less than the spread.

How to beat the spread? ›

If the team wins by more than the spread, then your bet is successful. For example, if the spread was -5.5 points and the team won by 6 points or more, they covered the spread and you would win the bet.

How to read against the spread? ›

“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.

What is a good winning percentage against the spread? ›

The break even winning percentage of a profitable sports bettor is typically 52.4%. Meaning that you need a win rate of more than 52.4% of your bets in order to make a profit (assuming -110 odds). There are some exceptions though, that often seem to slip people's attention.

How do you pick a football game with spread? ›

If you choose the team that's favored, they have to win by more than the spread number in order for you to get credit for a correct pick. If you choose the underdog team, they must lose by less than the spread number (or win outright) in order for you to get credit for the correct pick.

Which app is the best football prediction app? ›

BetsWall is the world's first and best football & basketball betting tips engine with win rate of over 84%. Predictions are made by the artificial intelligence software we have developed in years. We share predictions of BetsWall Engine a few hours before the matches start.

How do you predict a football win? ›

If we want to predict an event – like the result of a football match – it helps to have three things. First, we need data on results in historical matches. Second, we need data on the factors that might influence the result of a match. And finally, we need a way to convert these factors into a useable prediction.

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